As #1 teams go, Kansas City has had an exceptionally weak set of opponents and as a #1, Kansas City looks to be had. The schedule doesn’t give them very many hard opponents. Denver looms in week 11 and 13, and Indianapolis in week 16, but otherwise the schedule favors this team — until the playoffs.

Week 7 NFL Stats:


To explain the columns above, Median is a median point spread, and can be used to get a feel for how good a team is without overly weighting a blowout win or blowout loss. HS is Brian Burke’s Homemade Sagarin, as implemented in Maggie Xiong’s PDL::Stats. Pred is the predicted Pythagorean expectation. The exponent for this measure is fitted to the data set itself. SOS, SRS, and MOV are the simple ranking components, analyzed via this Perl implementation. MOV is margin of victory, or point spread divided by games played. SOS is strength of schedule. SRS is the simple ranking.

OSRS and DSRS stats look like this:


The OSRS and SDSR stats are calculated as described here. The top 5 teams in OSRS turn out to be Denver, Chicago, Indianapolis, Dallas, and Green Bay. The top 5 teams in DSRS are Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, San Francisco, and New Orleans. Carolina’s stats in general are notable, as they have the second best Pythagorean in the league.