Odds for the second week of the 2015 playoffs, presented from the home team’s point of view:
|Second Round Playoff Odds|
|Home Team||Visiting Team||Score Diff||Win Prob||Est. Point Spread|
|Carolina Panthers||Seattle Seahawks||-1.713||0.153||-12.7|
|Arizona Cardinals||Green Bay Packers||-0.001||0.500||0.0|
|Denver Broncos||Pittsburgh Steelers||0.437||0.608||3.2|
|New England Patriots||Kansas City Chiefs||-0.563||0.363||-4.2|
Last week the system went 3-1 and perhaps would have gone 4-0 if after the Burflict interception, Cincinnati had just killed three plays and kicked a field goal.
The system currently gives Seattle a massive advantage in the playoffs. It says that Green Bay/Arizona is effectively an even match up, and that both the AFC games are pretty close. It favors Denver in their matchup, and the Chiefs in theirs.
One last comment about last week’s games. The Cincinnati-Pitt game was the most depressing playoff game I’ve seen in a long time, both for the dirty play on both sides of the ball, and the end being decided by stupid play on Cincinnati’s part. It took away from the good parts of the game, the tough defense when people weren’t pushing the edges of the rules, and the gritty play on the part of McCarron and Roethlisberger. There was some heroic play on both their parts, in pouring rain.
But for me, watching Ryan Shazier leading with the crown of his helmet and then listening to officials explain away what is obvious on video more or less took the cake. If in any way shape or form, this kind of hit is legal, then the NFL rules system is busted.