At this point, some of the races in the AFC and NFC are beginning to shake out, the competitors emerging, front runners slowly falling back.

Global Statistics:
Games  Home Wins Winning_Score Losing_Score Margin
120        69        27.56         17.81      9.75

Calculated Pythagorean Exponent:  2.67

Rank  Team    Median  GP   W   L   T  Pct   Pred   SRS    MOV   SOS
------------------------------------------------------------------------
1     NE      13.5     8   7   1   0  87.5  79.0  11.35  10.62  0.72
2     DAL      7.0     7   6   1   0  85.7  72.8   7.65   8.29 -0.63
3     DEN     10.0     8   6   2   0  75.0  72.1   7.01   7.25 -0.24
4     OAK      2.0     8   6   2   0  75.0  53.8   0.12   1.50 -1.38
5     MIN      9.0     7   5   2   0  71.4  68.5   5.15   5.00  0.15
6     KC       6.0     7   5   2   0  71.4  62.5   3.43   4.14 -0.72
7     SEA      2.0     7   4   2   1  64.3  62.0   0.97   3.14 -2.17
8     HOU      5.0     8   5   3   0  62.5  37.1  -2.10  -3.75  1.65
9     ATL      4.0     8   5   3   0  62.5  58.3   4.81   3.88  0.93
10    PHI     11.0     7   4   3   0  57.1  75.7   9.15   8.86  0.29
11    PIT      8.0     7   4   3   0  57.1  58.3   5.16   2.86  2.31
12    GB       4.0     7   4   3   0  57.1  56.5   2.37   2.29  0.08
13    NYG      1.0     7   4   3   0  57.1  46.1  -0.38  -1.14  0.76
14    WAS      1.0     8   4   3   1  56.2  48.9   0.35  -0.38  0.72
15    BUF      4.0     8   4   4   0  50.0  63.6   4.90   5.00 -0.10
16    DET      0.0     8   4   4   0  50.0  47.5  -1.88  -0.88 -1.01
17    TEN     -3.0     8   4   4   0  50.0  49.6  -2.87  -0.12 -2.74
18    ARI     -1.0     8   3   4   1  43.8  65.8   3.52   4.88 -1.35
19    CIN     -4.0     8   3   4   1  43.8  41.8  -0.87  -2.75  1.88
20    NO      -1.0     7   3   4   0  42.9  45.5  -0.34  -2.00  1.66
21    BAL     -1.0     7   3   4   0  42.9  47.1  -3.80  -0.86 -2.95
22    MIA     -2.0     7   3   4   0  42.9  44.3  -0.51  -1.86  1.34
23    LA      -3.0     7   3   4   0  42.9  33.9  -6.02  -4.86 -1.16
24    TB      -5.0     7   3   4   0  42.9  35.9  -5.36  -5.29 -0.07
25    SD      -2.0     8   3   5   0  37.5  54.0   2.70   1.62  1.07
26    IND     -3.0     8   3   5   0  37.5  43.3  -3.81  -2.75 -1.06
27    NYJ     -5.5     8   3   5   0  37.5  29.5  -6.74  -7.25  0.51
28    CAR     -3.0     7   2   5   0  28.6  48.3  -0.02  -0.71  0.70
29    JAX     -4.0     7   2   5   0  28.6  28.5  -9.63  -8.14 -1.49
30    CHI     -7.5     8   2   6   0  25.0  30.3  -5.14  -6.00  0.86
31    SF     -17.0     7   1   6   0  14.3  24.6  -9.91 -10.71  0.81
32    CLE     -8.5     8   0   8   0   0.0  25.1  -9.24 -10.00  0.76

Oakland? Still a factor at 6-2. Minnesota? Can they rebuild their offensive line enough to protect Sam Bradford? When will Pittsburgh get Roethlisberger back?

Ok, to get a feel for offensive and defensive strengths, you can split SRS, the simple ranking, into an offensive and defensive component. OSRS and DSRS are better the more positive they are. The scale is in points above the average team.

NAME   W  L  T    SRS    MOV    SOS   OSRS   OMOV   OSOS   DSRS   DMOV   DSOS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
NE     7  1  0  11.34  10.62   0.72   4.44   4.44   0.00   6.49   6.18   0.31
DAL    6  1  0   7.65   8.29  -0.63   3.83   4.17  -0.35   4.11   4.11   0.00
DEN    6  2  0   7.01   7.25  -0.24   1.59   1.57   0.03   5.68   5.68   0.00
OAK    6  2  0   0.12   1.50  -1.38   4.19   4.19   0.00  -4.36  -2.69  -1.67
MIN    5  2  0   5.15   5.00   0.15  -2.83  -2.83   0.00   8.11   7.83   0.28
KC     5  2  0   3.43   4.14  -0.72   1.03   1.03   0.00   2.12   3.11  -0.99
SEA    4  2  1   0.97   3.14  -2.17  -3.97  -3.97   0.00   4.63   7.11  -2.48
ATL    5  3  0   4.81   3.88   0.93  10.81  10.07   0.74  -6.19  -6.19   0.00
HOU    5  3  0  -2.10  -3.75   1.65  -5.56  -5.56   0.00   3.54   1.81   1.73
PHI    4  3  0   9.15   8.86   0.29   2.89   2.89   0.00   6.15   5.97   0.19
PIT    4  3  0   5.16   2.86   2.31   1.60   1.60   0.00   3.67   1.25   2.42
GB     4  3  0   2.37   2.29   0.08   1.89   1.89   0.00   0.69   0.40   0.29
NYG    4  3  0  -0.38  -1.14   0.76  -3.68  -3.68   0.00   3.18   2.54   0.64
WAS    4  3  1   0.35  -0.38   0.72   0.57   0.57   0.00  -0.14  -0.94   0.80
BUF    4  4  0   4.90   5.00  -0.10   3.70   3.82  -0.12   1.18   1.18   0.00
DET    4  4  0  -1.88  -0.88  -1.01  -0.72   0.19  -0.91  -1.07  -1.07   0.00
TEN    4  4  0  -2.87  -0.12  -2.74  -1.77   0.07  -1.84  -0.89  -0.19  -0.70
ARI    3  4  1   3.52   4.88  -1.35  -1.45  -0.31  -1.14   5.09   5.18  -0.09
CIN    3  4  1  -0.87  -2.75   1.88  -1.81  -1.81   0.00   0.95  -0.94   1.89
NO     3  4  0  -0.34  -2.00   1.66   7.66   6.03   1.63  -8.03  -8.03   0.00
MIA    3  4  0  -0.51  -1.86   1.34  -1.83  -1.83   0.00   1.09  -0.03   1.12
BAL    3  4  0  -3.80  -0.86  -2.95  -5.79  -3.68  -2.11   1.85   2.83  -0.98
TB     3  4  0  -5.36  -5.29  -0.07  -0.97  -0.97   0.00  -4.54  -4.32  -0.22
LA     3  4  0  -6.02  -4.86  -1.16  -6.99  -5.54  -1.45   0.68   0.68   0.00
SD     3  5  0   2.70   1.62   1.07   6.52   5.44   1.08  -3.82  -3.82   0.00
IND    3  5  0  -3.81  -2.75  -1.06   3.30   3.32  -0.02  -6.76  -6.07  -0.69
NYJ    3  5  0  -6.74  -7.25   0.51  -3.93  -3.93   0.00  -2.74  -3.32   0.57
CAR    2  5  0  -0.02  -0.71   0.70   5.71   4.60   1.11  -5.32  -5.32   0.00
JAX    2  5  0  -9.63  -8.14  -1.49  -2.83  -2.83   0.00  -6.88  -5.32  -1.56
CHI    2  6  0  -5.14  -6.00   0.86  -6.31  -6.31   0.00   1.43   0.31   1.12
SF     1  6  0  -9.91 -10.71   0.81  -2.11  -2.11   0.00  -7.79  -8.60   0.81
CLE    0  8  0  -9.25 -10.00   0.75  -2.93  -2.93   0.00  -6.38  -7.07   0.69

If anything surprised me, it was how effective the Dallas defense has been, and how bad the Atlanta defense has been. By this metric, ATL is 27th in the league defensively. Yes, it has the #1 offense in the league, but it pretty much has to outscore everybody.