A bit late, as the Thursday game has been played. But this week was the election and it’s only now that things have calmed down in my life.

Global Statistics:
Games  Home Wins HwPct Winning_Score Losing_Score Margin
132        75     56.8      27.73        18.02      9.70

Calculated Pythagorean Exponent:  2.74


Rank  Team    Median  GP   W   L   T  Pct   Pred   SRS    MOV   SOS
------------------------------------------------------------------------
1     NE      13.5     8   7   1   0  87.5  79.6  10.61  10.62 -0.02
2     DAL     10.5     8   7   1   0  87.5  78.1   8.21  10.38 -2.16
3     OAK      3.0     9   7   2   0  77.8  56.4   2.52   2.44  0.08
4     KC       6.0     8   6   2   0  75.0  63.5   3.06   4.25 -1.19
5     DEN      8.0     9   6   3   0  66.7  66.7   5.56   5.33  0.22
6     ATL      7.0     9   6   3   0  66.7  61.0   5.45   5.11  0.34
7     SEA      2.0     7   4   2   1  64.3  62.3   1.01   3.14 -2.13
8     MIN      6.0     8   5   3   0  62.5  63.8   3.47   3.62 -0.15
9     HOU      5.0     8   5   3   0  62.5  36.8  -2.29  -3.75  1.46
10    NYG      2.0     8   5   3   0  62.5  48.7   1.49  -0.38  1.86
11    WAS      1.0     8   4   3   1  56.2  48.9   0.31  -0.38  0.68
12    DET      1.0     9   5   4   0  55.6  49.7  -0.73  -0.11 -0.62
13    PHI      5.0     8   4   4   0  50.0  71.2   7.14   7.12  0.02
14    BUF      4.0     8   4   4   0  50.0  63.9   4.77   5.00 -0.23
15    GB       1.5     8   4   4   0  50.0  53.9   1.68   1.38  0.31
16    PIT      0.5     8   4   4   0  50.0  55.0   2.83   1.62  1.21
17    MIA      0.5     8   4   4   0  50.0  46.5  -1.42  -1.12 -0.30
18    BAL      0.5     8   4   4   0  50.0  50.4  -1.52   0.12 -1.65
19    NO       0.0     8   4   4   0  50.0  51.1   1.19   0.50  0.69
20    SD      -1.0     9   4   5   0  44.4  55.6   3.47   2.33  1.14
21    IND     -3.0     9   4   5   0  44.4  45.3  -2.44  -1.89 -0.55
22    TEN     -7.0     9   4   5   0  44.4  47.2  -2.74  -1.00 -1.74
23    ARI     -1.0     8   3   4   1  43.8  66.2   3.19   4.88 -1.69
24    CIN     -4.0     8   3   4   1  43.8  41.6  -1.64  -2.75  1.11
25    CAR     -2.0     8   3   5   0  37.5  49.3  -0.68  -0.25 -0.43
26    LA      -3.0     8   3   5   0  37.5  33.5  -5.58  -4.62 -0.96
27    TB      -5.5     8   3   5   0  37.5  33.3  -5.87  -6.50  0.63
28    NYJ     -4.0     9   3   6   0  33.3  30.2  -6.89  -6.89 -0.01
29    JAX     -4.5     8   2   6   0  25.0  28.3  -7.88  -7.75 -0.13
30    CHI     -7.5     8   2   6   0  25.0  29.9  -5.10  -6.00  0.90
31    SF     -17.5     8   1   7   0  12.5  23.0 -10.85 -11.62  0.78
32    CLE    -11.0     9   0   9   0   0.0  20.9 -10.33 -11.67  1.34

We’re calculating a new stat now, the home winning percentage. For this data set it’s a shade under 57%. Home winning percentage has been doing down. Last year it was closer to 54%, but it’s up for now this year. The rule of thumb has been that HFA = 3 point spread = 60% advantage, but the rule gets stretched these days.

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