On a day where Dak couldn’t hit the side of a barn, and the Cowboys best two receivers were sidelined, Dallas lost. The fanbase is not totally frantic, but the edges are in a bit of a panic mode. This, from a team where after the loss, they are the #2 team in all of the NFL in simple ranking. This is because other teams lost too, and they lost harder.

The real news to me is the meteoric rise of the Patriots into the top 5. I don’t see this status going away. Next, best by wins. The best 7 win team is Dallas, followed by New England and then Tampa Bay. The best 6 win team is Buffalo, followed by Indianapolis. In the 5 win frame, it is New Orleans, followed by Philadelphia. Comparing Pythagorean expectations to win rate, the most overrated team at the moment is Baltimore.

Games  Home Wins HwPct Winning_Score Losing_Score Margin
165        80     48.5      29.07        16.93     12.14

Calculated Pythagorean Exponent:  2.21


Rank  Team    Median  GP   W   L   T  Pct   Pred   SRS    MOV   SOS
------------------------------------------------------------------------
1     ARI     12.0    11   9   2   0  81.8  72.1  10.20   9.82  0.38
2     TEN      3.0    11   8   3   0  72.7  57.5   4.38   3.36  1.02
3     GB       3.0    11   8   3   0  72.7  57.9   3.29   3.00  0.29
4     LA       9.0    10   7   3   0  70.0  59.7   4.41   4.40  0.01
5     DAL      5.0    10   7   3   0  70.0  66.7   9.24   7.90  1.34
6     TB       4.0    10   7   3   0  70.0  67.5   8.38   8.70 -0.32
7     BAL      2.5    10   7   3   0  70.0  53.9   0.02   1.70 -1.68
8     KC       4.0    11   7   4   0  63.6  56.4   4.21   2.82  1.39
9     NE       3.0    11   7   4   0  63.6  76.3   8.52  11.18 -2.66
10    BUF     16.5    10   6   4   0  60.0  75.8   8.13  11.90 -3.77
11    LAC      3.5    10   6   4   0  60.0  48.9   1.13  -0.50  1.63
12    CIN      3.0    10   6   4   0  60.0  61.7   1.09   5.20 -4.11
13    PIT      1.0    10   5   4   1  55.0  47.0  -2.19  -1.20 -0.99
14    IND      6.0    11   6   5   0  54.5  62.6   4.75   5.82 -1.07
15    CLE      3.0    11   6   5   0  54.5  48.4  -0.88  -0.64 -0.24
16    SF       2.0    10   5   5   0  50.0  55.7   3.51   2.40  1.11
17    DEN      2.0    10   5   5   0  50.0  54.9  -0.80   1.70 -2.50
18    MIN      0.5    10   5   5   0  50.0  52.9   2.81   1.30  1.51
19    NO       0.5    10   5   5   0  50.0  57.7   4.38   3.30  1.08
20    LV      -2.0    10   5   5   0  50.0  41.2  -5.08  -3.90 -1.18
21    PHI     -3.0    11   5   6   0  45.5  57.3   3.77   3.36  0.41
22    CAR     -3.0    11   5   6   0  45.5  51.5   0.34   0.55 -0.21
23    ATL     -5.0    10   4   6   0  40.0  25.6 -10.35 -11.00  0.65
24    WAS     -5.5    10   4   6   0  40.0  37.5  -4.09  -5.50  1.41
25    MIA     -3.0    11   4   7   0  36.4  34.4  -6.94  -6.18 -0.76
26    SEA     -3.0    10   3   7   0  30.0  45.9   1.18  -1.50  2.68
27    NYG     -3.0    10   3   7   0  30.0  35.8  -4.64  -5.70  1.06
28    CHI     -6.5    10   3   7   0  30.0  29.8  -7.49  -7.70  0.21
29    NYJ    -11.0    10   2   8   0  20.0  21.5 -12.43 -14.20  1.77
30    JAX    -11.0    10   2   8   0  20.0  24.9  -8.72 -10.30  1.58
31    HOU    -12.5    10   2   8   0  20.0  21.3  -9.68 -12.10  2.42
32    DET     -8.5    10   0   9   1   5.0  23.5 -10.47 -11.30  0.83