A bit late, as the Thursday game has been played. But this week was the election and it’s only now that things have calmed down in my life.
Global Statistics: Games Home Wins HwPct Winning_Score Losing_Score Margin 132 75 56.8 27.73 18.02 9.70 Calculated Pythagorean Exponent: 2.74 Rank Team Median GP W L T Pct Pred SRS MOV SOS ------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 NE 13.5 8 7 1 0 87.5 79.6 10.61 10.62 -0.02 2 DAL 10.5 8 7 1 0 87.5 78.1 8.21 10.38 -2.16 3 OAK 3.0 9 7 2 0 77.8 56.4 2.52 2.44 0.08 4 KC 6.0 8 6 2 0 75.0 63.5 3.06 4.25 -1.19 5 DEN 8.0 9 6 3 0 66.7 66.7 5.56 5.33 0.22 6 ATL 7.0 9 6 3 0 66.7 61.0 5.45 5.11 0.34 7 SEA 2.0 7 4 2 1 64.3 62.3 1.01 3.14 -2.13 8 MIN 6.0 8 5 3 0 62.5 63.8 3.47 3.62 -0.15 9 HOU 5.0 8 5 3 0 62.5 36.8 -2.29 -3.75 1.46 10 NYG 2.0 8 5 3 0 62.5 48.7 1.49 -0.38 1.86 11 WAS 1.0 8 4 3 1 56.2 48.9 0.31 -0.38 0.68 12 DET 1.0 9 5 4 0 55.6 49.7 -0.73 -0.11 -0.62 13 PHI 5.0 8 4 4 0 50.0 71.2 7.14 7.12 0.02 14 BUF 4.0 8 4 4 0 50.0 63.9 4.77 5.00 -0.23 15 GB 1.5 8 4 4 0 50.0 53.9 1.68 1.38 0.31 16 PIT 0.5 8 4 4 0 50.0 55.0 2.83 1.62 1.21 17 MIA 0.5 8 4 4 0 50.0 46.5 -1.42 -1.12 -0.30 18 BAL 0.5 8 4 4 0 50.0 50.4 -1.52 0.12 -1.65 19 NO 0.0 8 4 4 0 50.0 51.1 1.19 0.50 0.69 20 SD -1.0 9 4 5 0 44.4 55.6 3.47 2.33 1.14 21 IND -3.0 9 4 5 0 44.4 45.3 -2.44 -1.89 -0.55 22 TEN -7.0 9 4 5 0 44.4 47.2 -2.74 -1.00 -1.74 23 ARI -1.0 8 3 4 1 43.8 66.2 3.19 4.88 -1.69 24 CIN -4.0 8 3 4 1 43.8 41.6 -1.64 -2.75 1.11 25 CAR -2.0 8 3 5 0 37.5 49.3 -0.68 -0.25 -0.43 26 LA -3.0 8 3 5 0 37.5 33.5 -5.58 -4.62 -0.96 27 TB -5.5 8 3 5 0 37.5 33.3 -5.87 -6.50 0.63 28 NYJ -4.0 9 3 6 0 33.3 30.2 -6.89 -6.89 -0.01 29 JAX -4.5 8 2 6 0 25.0 28.3 -7.88 -7.75 -0.13 30 CHI -7.5 8 2 6 0 25.0 29.9 -5.10 -6.00 0.90 31 SF -17.5 8 1 7 0 12.5 23.0 -10.85 -11.62 0.78 32 CLE -11.0 9 0 9 0 0.0 20.9 -10.33 -11.67 1.34
We’re calculating a new stat now, the home winning percentage. For this data set it’s a shade under 57%. Home winning percentage has been doing down. Last year it was closer to 54%, but it’s up for now this year. The rule of thumb has been that HFA = 3 point spread = 60% advantage, but the rule gets stretched these days.
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