So now there are two teams. I will not use my usual formula for this game, as it is not valid in a season without a home field advantage. I will note that Tampa Bay has a higher Simple Ranking than Kansas City, and a larger Pythagorean. SRS would give Tampa Bay an advantage of between 2 and 3 points. That said, as a practical man, I will note that Kansas City is outperforming its expectations and has through most of the year. And Patrick Mahomes, along with Aaron Rodgers, are the two most dangerous quarterbacks in the league.