November 2022
Monthly Archive
November 29, 2022
It was a good week if you wanted to see some good running. Josh Jacobs ran for 303 yards for the Raiders and the Eagles collectively as a team ran for 363 yards. That said, there is very little shift in the top 5 by SRS. Buffalo, Dallas, Philadelphia, Baltimore and KC round out the top 5.
Global Statistics:
Games Home Wins HwPct Winning_Score Losing_Score Margin
180 98 54.4 26.47 17.14 9.33
Calculated Pythagorean Exponent: 3.29
Rank Team Median GP W L T Pct Pred SRS MOV SOS
------------------------------------------------------------------------
1 PHI 8.0 11 10 1 0 90.9 75.3 6.56 7.91 -1.34
2 MIN 4.0 11 9 2 0 81.8 51.6 2.22 0.45 1.77
3 KC 3.0 11 9 2 0 81.8 72.4 6.12 7.55 -1.42
4 DAL 8.0 11 8 3 0 72.7 78.8 8.49 8.36 0.13
5 BUF 4.0 11 8 3 0 72.7 81.0 11.10 10.00 1.10
6 MIA 4.0 11 8 3 0 72.7 57.9 3.99 2.36 1.63
7 SF 13.0 11 7 4 0 63.6 76.8 3.49 6.91 -3.42
8 CIN 4.0 11 7 4 0 63.6 66.6 5.45 4.91 0.54
9 TEN 4.0 11 7 4 0 63.6 51.6 -0.38 0.36 -0.74
10 BAL 3.0 11 7 4 0 63.6 65.3 6.25 4.36 1.88
11 NYJ 3.0 11 7 4 0 63.6 62.9 5.04 3.09 1.95
12 NYG 3.0 11 7 4 0 63.6 47.5 -0.42 -0.64 0.21
13 WAS 1.5 12 7 5 0 58.3 48.9 -0.20 -0.25 0.05
14 NE 3.0 11 6 5 0 54.5 63.5 4.17 3.36 0.81
15 SEA 1.0 11 6 5 0 54.5 52.9 -1.85 0.91 -2.76
16 LAC 1.0 11 6 5 0 54.5 40.9 -4.04 -2.73 -1.32
17 TB -2.0 11 5 6 0 45.5 48.8 -0.51 -0.27 -0.24
18 ATL -2.0 12 5 7 0 41.7 43.9 -3.34 -1.75 -1.59
19 IND -1.0 12 4 7 1 37.5 30.5 -5.04 -4.50 -0.54
20 LV -2.0 11 4 7 0 36.4 46.7 -4.18 -1.00 -3.18
21 CLE -2.0 11 4 7 0 36.4 43.2 -0.20 -2.09 1.89
22 DET -3.0 11 4 7 0 36.4 40.3 -0.52 -3.18 2.66
23 PIT -4.0 11 4 7 0 36.4 27.4 -3.14 -6.09 2.95
24 JAX -6.0 11 4 7 0 36.4 54.1 -0.23 1.09 -1.33
25 CAR -3.0 12 4 8 0 33.3 38.3 -4.13 -3.00 -1.13
26 ARI -5.5 12 4 8 0 33.3 34.5 -5.84 -4.75 -1.09
27 GB -5.5 12 4 8 0 33.3 35.2 -1.32 -4.00 2.68
28 NO -6.0 12 4 8 0 33.3 40.5 -3.54 -2.58 -0.96
29 DEN -3.0 11 3 8 0 27.3 33.3 -5.59 -3.36 -2.23
30 LA -10.0 11 3 8 0 27.3 23.9 -5.95 -6.82 0.86
31 CHI -4.0 12 3 9 0 25.0 34.5 -3.45 -4.50 1.05
32 HOU -8.0 11 1 9 1 13.6 21.1 -9.00 -7.82 -1.18
November 22, 2022
In terms of SRS, Buffalo is #1, Dallas is #2, Baltimore is #3, Philadelphia is #4, and Kansas City is #5. For those wanting an approximate representation of the value of a 53.0 percent HFA, go to Wolfram Alpha, and enter logit(0.530)*7.4. It’s about 0.89 points.
Global Statistics:
Games Home Wins HwPct Winning_Score Losing_Score Margin
164 87 53.0 26.43 17.00 9.43
Calculated Pythagorean Exponent: 3.12
Rank Team Median GP W L T Pct Pred SRS MOV SOS
------------------------------------------------------------------------
1 PHI 8.5 10 9 1 0 90.0 75.6 6.36 8.00 -1.64
2 MIN 3.5 10 8 2 0 80.0 49.3 1.38 -0.20 1.58
3 KC 3.0 10 8 2 0 80.0 68.7 5.72 6.70 -0.98
4 DAL 9.5 10 7 3 0 70.0 78.1 8.57 8.40 0.17
5 BUF 6.0 10 7 3 0 70.0 81.7 11.71 10.70 1.01
6 TEN 5.5 10 7 3 0 70.0 53.3 -0.47 0.80 -1.27
7 BAL 4.0 10 7 3 0 70.0 66.5 6.97 4.90 2.07
8 MIA 3.5 10 7 3 0 70.0 53.5 3.72 1.10 2.62
9 NYG 3.5 10 7 3 0 70.0 50.4 -0.46 0.10 -0.56
10 SF 10.5 10 6 4 0 60.0 72.5 3.20 6.30 -3.10
11 CIN 5.5 10 6 4 0 60.0 65.7 5.44 5.00 0.44
12 NE 4.0 10 6 4 0 60.0 67.3 4.85 4.40 0.45
13 SEA 2.0 10 6 4 0 60.0 55.0 -0.87 1.60 -2.47
14 NYJ 2.0 10 6 4 0 60.0 55.2 4.01 1.30 2.71
15 WAS 1.0 11 6 5 0 54.5 46.8 -0.58 -0.82 0.24
16 TB 0.5 10 5 5 0 50.0 51.3 0.20 0.30 -0.10
17 LAC -0.5 10 5 5 0 50.0 40.2 -4.02 -3.10 -0.92
18 ATL -1.0 11 5 6 0 45.5 45.6 -2.97 -1.36 -1.61
19 IND -1.0 11 4 6 1 40.9 32.1 -4.70 -4.27 -0.43
20 DET -3.0 10 4 6 0 40.0 40.7 -1.29 -3.20 1.91
21 NO -4.0 11 4 7 0 36.4 44.6 -2.97 -1.64 -1.33
22 GB -5.0 11 4 7 0 36.4 36.0 -1.41 -3.73 2.32
23 ARI -8.0 11 4 7 0 36.4 34.2 -5.89 -5.09 -0.80
24 CLE -2.5 10 3 7 0 30.0 41.2 -0.79 -2.90 2.11
25 DEN -3.0 10 3 7 0 30.0 38.4 -4.63 -2.40 -2.23
26 LV -3.5 10 3 7 0 30.0 44.3 -4.83 -1.70 -3.13
27 PIT -5.0 10 3 7 0 30.0 24.5 -3.60 -7.40 3.80
28 JAX -6.0 10 3 7 0 30.0 54.1 -0.96 1.10 -2.06
29 LA -8.5 10 3 7 0 30.0 28.1 -5.48 -5.90 0.42
30 CHI -3.0 11 3 8 0 27.3 40.1 -2.43 -3.00 0.57
31 CAR -3.0 11 3 8 0 27.3 34.0 -4.98 -4.45 -0.52
32 HOU -7.5 10 1 8 1 15.0 24.0 -8.77 -7.10 -1.67
November 17, 2022
A bunch of the top 5 teams lost, and for now, the only team with a SRS over 10 is Buffalo. Second is Philadelphia with a SRS over 7.6, and the Ravens with a SRS of 7.4. KC is fourth and Dallas is fifth. The Bengals are sixth, Minnesota is seventh and the Jets are eighth. How long has it been since the Jets were last a top 10 team?
Global Statistics:
Games Home Wins HwPct Winning_Score Losing_Score Margin
150 82 54.7 26.41 17.12 9.29
Calculated Pythagorean Exponent: 3.20
Rank Team Median GP W L T Pct Pred SRS MOV SOS
------------------------------------------------------------------------
1 PHI 9.0 9 8 1 0 88.9 77.5 7.63 8.78 -1.15
2 MIN 4.0 9 8 1 0 88.9 63.1 5.25 3.89 1.36
3 NYG 4.0 9 7 2 0 77.8 56.2 0.81 1.56 -0.74
4 KC 3.0 9 7 2 0 77.8 70.4 6.10 7.11 -1.01
5 MIA 3.5 10 7 3 0 70.0 53.6 4.12 1.10 3.02
6 DAL 7.0 9 6 3 0 66.7 69.1 5.50 5.22 0.28
7 BUF 4.0 9 6 3 0 66.7 83.4 12.89 11.00 1.89
8 TEN 4.0 9 6 3 0 66.7 49.0 -1.53 -0.22 -1.31
9 BAL 3.0 9 6 3 0 66.7 64.1 7.42 4.33 3.09
10 NYJ 3.0 9 6 3 0 66.7 58.5 4.89 2.22 2.67
11 SEA 2.0 10 6 4 0 60.0 55.1 -0.82 1.60 -2.42
12 SF 6.0 9 5 4 0 55.6 65.1 0.97 3.89 -2.92
13 CIN 4.0 9 5 4 0 55.6 66.1 5.32 4.78 0.54
14 NE 3.0 9 5 4 0 55.6 65.6 4.15 4.11 0.04
15 LAC 2.0 9 5 4 0 55.6 39.7 -5.18 -3.11 -2.07
16 TB 0.5 10 5 5 0 50.0 51.3 -0.00 0.30 -0.30
17 WAS -1.0 10 5 5 0 50.0 41.4 -0.97 -2.20 1.23
18 IND -0.5 10 4 5 1 45.0 30.5 -6.06 -4.60 -1.46
19 ATL -2.0 10 4 6 0 40.0 44.1 -3.80 -1.80 -2.00
20 GB -3.5 10 4 6 0 40.0 37.9 -0.31 -3.10 2.79
21 ARI -5.5 10 4 6 0 40.0 40.9 -3.51 -2.80 -0.71
22 CLE -2.0 9 3 6 0 33.3 42.7 -1.44 -2.33 0.90
23 DET -3.0 9 3 6 0 33.3 35.5 -2.51 -5.00 2.49
24 DEN -3.0 9 3 6 0 33.3 39.8 -4.54 -2.00 -2.54
25 PIT -4.0 9 3 6 0 33.3 22.2 -3.60 -7.44 3.85
26 LA -10.0 9 3 6 0 33.3 27.6 -5.31 -5.78 0.47
27 CAR -3.0 10 3 7 0 30.0 36.4 -5.27 -3.90 -1.37
28 CHI -4.0 10 3 7 0 30.0 39.8 -2.14 -3.00 0.86
29 NO -6.0 10 3 7 0 30.0 41.5 -2.96 -2.50 -0.46
30 JAX -6.0 10 3 7 0 30.0 54.2 -1.13 1.10 -2.23
31 LV -5.0 9 2 7 0 22.2 41.5 -5.58 -2.56 -3.02
32 HOU -7.0 9 1 7 1 16.7 25.9 -8.41 -6.44 -1.97
November 8, 2022
The order of the first two teams, rated by SRS, has not changed, though Buffalo is down to a mere 13 SRS. Baltimore is third, Dallas is fourth, and fifth is Kansas City. Other notable teams include Cincinnati, New York Jets, and New England. The two worst in terms of SRS are the Colts and the Texans.
Global Statistics:
Games Home Wins HwPct Winning_Score Losing_Score Margin
136 73 53.7 26.38 16.95 9.43
Calculated Pythagorean Exponent: 3.08
Rank Team Median GP W L T Pct Pred SRS MOV SOS
------------------------------------------------------------------------
1 PHI 10.5 8 8 0 0 100.0 82.8 9.36 11.25 -1.89
2 MIN 5.5 8 7 1 0 87.5 63.6 3.22 4.00 -0.78
3 DAL 9.5 8 6 2 0 75.0 72.8 6.50 6.25 0.25
4 BUF 7.0 8 6 2 0 75.0 87.2 13.62 12.75 0.87
5 NYG 3.5 8 6 2 0 75.0 52.9 0.78 0.75 0.03
6 KC 3.0 8 6 2 0 75.0 68.4 5.83 6.75 -0.92
7 SEA 3.0 9 6 3 0 66.7 57.0 0.09 2.33 -2.24
8 BAL 3.0 9 6 3 0 66.7 63.6 7.55 4.33 3.22
9 MIA 3.0 9 6 3 0 66.7 46.1 1.81 -1.22 3.03
10 NYJ 3.0 9 6 3 0 66.7 58.2 4.71 2.22 2.49
11 TEN 3.0 8 5 3 0 62.5 45.5 -2.45 -1.12 -1.33
12 LAC 2.5 8 5 3 0 62.5 41.4 -4.33 -2.75 -1.58
13 CIN 4.0 9 5 4 0 55.6 65.6 5.61 4.78 0.83
14 NE 3.0 9 5 4 0 55.6 65.0 3.53 4.11 -0.59
15 SF 7.0 8 4 4 0 50.0 63.5 1.68 3.62 -1.95
16 ATL -1.0 9 4 5 0 44.4 47.2 -1.72 -0.89 -0.84
17 TB -2.0 9 4 5 0 44.4 49.1 -0.19 -0.22 0.03
18 WAS -3.0 9 4 5 0 44.4 35.9 -3.62 -3.67 0.05
19 IND -1.0 9 3 5 1 38.9 26.8 -7.11 -5.67 -1.44
20 CLE -1.5 8 3 5 0 37.5 50.4 0.74 0.12 0.61
21 DEN -2.0 8 3 5 0 37.5 43.3 -3.73 -1.38 -2.35
22 LA -7.5 8 3 5 0 37.5 29.8 -3.76 -5.25 1.49
23 NO -4.0 9 3 6 0 33.3 44.8 -1.64 -1.67 0.03
24 CHI -5.0 9 3 6 0 33.3 39.1 -2.83 -3.22 0.39
25 GB -5.0 9 3 6 0 33.3 35.1 -2.02 -3.78 1.76
26 JAX -6.0 9 3 6 0 33.3 58.5 -0.86 2.33 -3.20
27 ARI -8.0 9 3 6 0 33.3 37.1 -3.91 -4.22 0.31
28 DET -3.5 8 2 6 0 25.0 33.8 -3.39 -5.75 2.36
29 LV -3.5 8 2 6 0 25.0 42.8 -4.68 -2.25 -2.43
30 PIT -5.0 8 2 6 0 25.0 17.9 -4.73 -9.62 4.90
31 CAR -3.0 9 2 7 0 22.2 32.2 -5.71 -5.44 -0.27
32 HOU -7.0 8 1 6 1 18.8 27.2 -8.33 -6.25 -2.08
November 1, 2022
In Week 8, Buffalo and Ohiladelphia are once again 1 and 2 in SRS, with Kansas City third. Dallas ranks 4th with Baltimore having almost an identical SRS. Amomg teams with 4 wins Cincinnati and San Francisco lead, and at three wins, Tampa Bay is the best, in terms of SRS.
Global Statistics:
Games Home Wins HwPct Winning_Score Losing_Score Margin
123 66 53.7 26.50 16.98 9.52
Calculated Pythagorean Exponent: 3.06
Rank Team Median GP W L T Pct Pred SRS MOV SOS
------------------------------------------------------------------------
1 PHI 9.0 7 7 0 0 100.0 82.5 10.09 11.14 -1.06
2 BUF 10.0 7 6 1 0 85.7 90.3 15.36 15.00 0.36
3 MIN 7.0 7 6 1 0 85.7 63.7 3.98 4.14 -0.17
4 DAL 9.5 8 6 2 0 75.0 72.6 6.26 6.25 0.01
5 NYG 3.5 8 6 2 0 75.0 52.9 0.72 0.75 -0.03
6 TEN 4.0 7 5 2 0 71.4 46.6 -2.60 -0.86 -1.74
7 KC 3.0 7 5 2 0 71.4 68.9 7.45 7.29 0.17
8 MIA 3.0 8 5 3 0 62.5 44.2 1.07 -1.75 2.82
9 BAL 2.5 8 5 3 0 62.5 59.7 6.21 3.12 3.09
10 NYJ 2.5 8 5 3 0 62.5 57.7 2.30 2.12 0.17
11 SEA 2.0 8 5 3 0 62.5 54.1 -0.43 1.38 -1.80
12 LAC 2.0 7 4 3 0 57.1 39.3 -5.15 -3.57 -1.58
13 SF 7.0 8 4 4 0 50.0 63.4 2.32 3.62 -1.31
14 ATL 1.0 8 4 4 0 50.0 48.1 -0.76 -0.62 -0.14
15 CIN 1.0 8 4 4 0 50.0 59.5 3.89 2.75 1.14
16 NE 0.0 8 4 4 0 50.0 56.3 1.07 1.75 -0.68
17 WAS -1.5 8 4 4 0 50.0 35.7 -4.07 -3.75 -0.32
18 IND -0.5 8 3 4 1 43.8 35.4 -5.63 -3.50 -2.13
19 LA -12.0 7 3 4 0 42.9 29.4 -2.80 -5.57 2.77
20 CLE -1.5 8 3 5 0 37.5 50.4 -0.09 0.12 -0.21
21 TB -2.0 8 3 5 0 37.5 47.4 0.37 -0.62 1.00
22 DEN -2.0 8 3 5 0 37.5 43.4 -3.95 -1.38 -2.58
23 NO -3.5 8 3 5 0 37.5 49.6 -0.49 -0.12 -0.37
24 GB -3.5 8 3 5 0 37.5 36.8 -1.44 -3.50 2.06
25 ARI -5.5 8 3 5 0 37.5 39.2 -2.24 -3.50 1.26
26 CHI -6.0 8 3 5 0 37.5 38.4 -3.28 -3.25 -0.03
27 LV -2.0 7 2 5 0 28.6 45.0 -3.87 -1.57 -2.29
28 CAR -3.0 8 2 6 0 25.0 37.8 -3.87 -3.50 -0.37
29 PIT -5.0 8 2 6 0 25.0 18.0 -5.37 -9.62 4.26
30 JAX -6.0 8 2 6 0 25.0 56.5 -1.09 1.75 -2.84
31 HOU -7.0 7 1 5 1 21.4 29.6 -9.08 -5.43 -3.65
32 DET -4.0 7 1 6 0 14.3 30.9 -4.86 -7.43 2.57
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