The first version of my Open Source Draft Simulator I wrote in time to analyze the draft of 2001, and it was based on C++. Later on, in 2007, while trying to get a job, I rewrote the simulator in Ruby because I was trying to impress people that I could learn the language. I didn’t get the job. The Ruby simulator isn’t as statistically versatile, but it works on multiple sports.
I pulled out that ten year old code, in part to see if it still works, and part to see if I could make use of the data I had received from Ourlads. Ourlads does a 32 team needs list, which in general is the hardest part of setting up a draft simulator.
The ruby code, as downloaded, has a dependence on the module ‘rdoc/usage’. It is not essential, and I recommend you comment out or delete the line that says ‘require ‘rdoc/usage”. At that point you’ll have a working program. If all the warnings at the beginning bother you, remove the -w flag from the hash bang (first) line.
On Linux create all the files and then get rid of the ^Ms at the end of the lines. I had originally developed this sim on Windows. You can use perl to remove the ^M characters with something like perl -pre ‘s/\r//g’.
Data sources? Sports Illustrated has a top 100 list that works well. The top 100 list from NFL Draft Scout also yields useful results. I used Ourlads as my ‘serious’ set of needs, but Lance Zierlein has a set, as do other sites.
A typical rule file in my current setup is:
#
# rule file for Cleveland Browns.
#
rule need
#
needlist QB RB OL DB DE
#
cond QB max 1 high
#
cond RB max 1
To note, with the SI top player set, if you don’t set QB to a “high” need, you’ll end up drafting Saquon Barkley number one. That’s one of the things I like about my own code. Slight changes in the needs of a single team can cause ripple effects throughout the draft.
A typical mock draft using this setup is:
ruby rubysim.rb -y 2018 -s football
This mock draft was made by rubysim.rb on 2018-04-16
Round 1.
1. Cleveland Browns select Sam Darnold, QB.
2. New York Giants select Bradley Chubb, DE.
3. New York Jets select Baker Mayfield, QB.
4. Cleveland Browns select Saquon Barkley, RB.
5. Denver Broncos select Josh Allen, QB.
6. Indianapolis Colts select Quenton Nelson, G.
7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers select Minkah Fitzpatrick, S.
8. Chicago Bears select Roquan Smith, LB.
9. San Francisco 49ers select Calvin Ridley, WR.
10. Oakland Raiders select Denzel Ward, CB.
11. Miami Dolphins select Vita Vea, DT.
12. Buffalo Bills select Josh Rosen, QB.
13. Washington Redskins select Josh Jackson, CB.
14. Green Bay Packers select Derwin James, S.
15. Arizona Cardinals select Connor Williams, OT.
16. Baltimore Ravens select Mike McGlinchey, OT.
17. Los Angeles Chargers select Tremaine Edmunds, LB.
18. Seattle Seahawks select Marcus Davenport, DE.
19. Dallas Cowboys select Da'Ron Payne, DT.
20. Detroit Lions select Harold Landry, DE.
21. Cincinnati Bengals select Leighton Vander Esch, LB.
22. Buffalo Bills select Courtland Sutton, WR.
23. New England Patriots select Derrius Guice, RB.
24. Carolina Panthers select Isaiah Oliver, CB.
25. Tennessee Titans select Maurice Hurst, DT.
26. Atlanta Falcons select Taven Bryan, DL.
27. New Orleans Saints select Christian Kirk, WR.
28. Pittsburgh Steelers select Rashaan Evans, LB.
29. Jacksonville Jaguars select Kolton Miller, OT.
30. Minnesota Vikings select Arden Key, DE.
31. New England Patriots select Isaiah Wynn, G.
32. Philadelphia Eagles select Justin Reid, S.
Round 2.
33. Cleveland Browns select James Daniels, C.
34. New York Giants select Lamar Jackson, QB.
35. Cleveland Browns select Mike Hughes, CB.
36. Indianapolis Colts select Jaire Alexander, CB.
37. Indianapolis Colts select Ronnie Harrison, S.
38. Tampa Bay Buccaneers select Carlton Davis, CB.
39. Chicago Bears select D.J. Moore, WR.
40. Denver Broncos select Hayden Hurst, TE.
41. Oakland Raiders select Donte Jackson, CB.
42. Miami Dolphins select Ronald Jones II, RB.
43. New England Patriots select Mike Gesicki, TE.
44. Washington Redskins select Will Hernandez, G.
45. Green Bay Packers select Orlando Brown, OT.
46. Cincinnati Bengals select Billy Price, C.
47. Arizona Cardinals select Chukwuma Okorafor, OT.
48. Los Angeles Chargers select Rasheem Green, DT.
49. Indianapolis Colts select Sam Hubbard, DE.
50. Dallas Cowboys select James Washington, WR.
51. Detroit Lions select Brian O'Neill, OT.
52. Baltimore Ravens select Jessie Bates, S.
53. Buffalo Bills select Deon Cain, WR.
54. Kansas City Chiefs select Tim Settle, DT.
55. Carolina Panthers select Lorenzo Carter, DE.
56. Buffalo Bills select Martinas Rankin, OT.
57. Tennessee Titans select Armani Watts, S.
58. Atlanta Falcons select Harrison Phillips, DT.
59. San Francisco 49ers select Uchenna Nwosu, LB.
60. Pittsburgh Steelers select Dallas Goedert, TE.
61. Jacksonville Jaguars select Anthony Averett, CB.
62. Minnesota Vikings select DeShon Elliott, S.
63. New England Patriots select Tyrell Crosby, OT.
64. Cleveland Browns select Ogbonnia Okoronkwo, DE.
Round 3.
65. Buffalo Bills select Darius Leonard, LB.
66. New York Giants select Sony Michel, RB.
67. Indianapolis Colts select Desmond Harrison, OT.
68. Houston Texans select Mark Andrews, TE.
69. New York Giants select Mason Rudolph, QB.
70. San Francisco 49ers select Dante Pettis, WR.
71. Denver Broncos select Kerryon Johnson, RB.
72. New York Jets select Nick Chubb, RB.
73. Miami Dolphins select Jerome Baker, LB.
74. San Francisco 49ers select Equanimeous St. Brown, WR.
75. Oakland Raiders select Malik Jefferson, LB.
76. Green Bay Packers select Michael Gallup, WR.
77. Cincinnati Bengals select Ian Thomas, TE.
78. Washington Redskins select Frank Ragnow, C.
79. Arizona Cardinals select Geron Christian, OT.
80. Houston Texans select Kyzir White, S.
81. Dallas Cowboys select Jamarco Jones, OT.
82. Detroit Lions select Jeff Holland, DE.
83. Baltimore Colts select Josh Sweat, DE.
84. Los Angeles Chargers select Trenton Thompson, DT.
85. Carolina Panthers select D.J. Chark, WR.
86. Kansas City Chiefs select Braden Smith, G.
87. Los Angeles Rams select Kemoko Turay, DE.
88. Carolina Panthers select Dorance Armstrong Jr., DE.
89. Tennessee Titans select Tarvarus McFadden, CB.
90. Atlanta Falcons select Chad Thomas, DE.
91. New Orleans Saints select Jordan Lasley, WR.
92. Pittsburgh Steelers select Shaquem Griffin, OLB.
93. Jacksonville Jaguars select Rashaan Gaulden, CB.
94. Minnesota Vikings select Tre'Quan Smith, WR.
95. New England Patriots select Anthony Miller, WR.
96. Buffalo Bills select Simmie Cobbs Jr., WR.
97. Arizona Cardinals select Joseph Noteboom, OT.
98. Houston Texans select Nick Nelson, CB.
99. Denver Broncos select Rashaad Penny, RB.
100. Cincinnati Bengals select Jaylen Samuels, RB.