December 2022


Minor changes at the top again. Buffalo, and Dallas, and Philadelphia round out the top three. Dallas scoots past PHI on the basis of their Saturday win. San Francisco is fourth and CIN is fifth.

Global Statistics:
Games  Home Wins HwPct Winning_Score Losing_Score Margin
240       131     54.6      26.53        17.08      9.45

Calculated Pythagorean Exponent:  3.29


Rank  Team    Median  GP   W   L   T  Pct   Pred   SRS    MOV   SOS
------------------------------------------------------------------------
1     PHI      8.0    15  13   2   0  86.7  77.1   8.15   9.13 -0.98
2     BUF      8.0    15  12   3   0  80.0  82.4  10.94  10.47  0.47
3     KC       6.0    15  12   3   0  80.0  71.3   5.81   7.07 -1.26
4     MIN      3.0    15  12   3   0  80.0  51.1   1.22   0.33  0.88
5     SF      15.0    15  11   4   0  73.3  83.3   7.60   9.67 -2.07
6     DAL      7.0    15  11   4   0  73.3  76.5   8.55   8.73 -0.18
7     CIN      4.0    15  11   4   0  73.3  69.1   6.00   5.67  0.33
8     BAL      2.0    15  10   5   0  66.7  63.3   3.50   3.27  0.23
9     LAC      2.0    15   9   6   0  60.0  47.3  -2.05  -0.73 -1.31
10    NYG      1.0    15   8   6   1  56.7  43.0  -1.25  -1.87  0.62
11    MIA      2.0    15   8   7   0  53.3  48.9   1.59  -0.33  1.92
12    WAS      0.0    15   7   7   1  50.0  42.3  -1.39  -1.87  0.48
13    TEN     -1.0    15   7   8   0  46.7  38.0  -3.67  -2.87 -0.81
14    GB      -2.0    15   7   8   0  46.7  44.7  -0.31  -1.40  1.09
15    TB      -2.0    15   7   8   0  46.7  39.2  -1.98  -2.53  0.55
16    PIT     -2.0    15   7   8   0  46.7  34.9  -2.33  -3.67  1.34
17    DET     -3.0    15   7   8   0  46.7  48.1   1.08  -0.60  1.68
18    NE      -3.0    15   7   8   0  46.7  57.3   2.15   1.80  0.35
19    NYJ     -3.0    15   7   8   0  46.7  50.6   1.94   0.13  1.81
20    SEA     -4.0    15   7   8   0  46.7  46.9  -1.87  -0.93 -0.94
21    JAX     -4.0    15   7   8   0  46.7  55.3   0.76   1.47 -0.71
22    LV      -1.0    15   6   9   0  40.0  49.5  -2.88  -0.13 -2.74
23    CLE     -2.0    15   6   9   0  40.0  45.1  -0.38  -1.33  0.95
24    CAR     -3.0    15   6   9   0  40.0  43.9  -2.43  -1.60 -0.83
25    NO      -3.0    15   6   9   0  40.0  44.3  -2.14  -1.47 -0.67
26    ATL     -3.0    15   5  10   0  33.3  41.4  -2.94  -2.33 -0.60
27    LA      -7.0    15   5  10   0  33.3  36.2  -2.97  -3.53  0.56
28    IND     -3.0    15   4  10   1  30.0  23.2  -7.41  -7.27 -0.14
29    DEN     -3.0    15   4  11   0  26.7  29.1  -6.11  -4.80 -1.31
30    ARI     -8.0    15   4  11   0  26.7  31.3  -5.69  -5.53 -0.16
31    CHI     -5.0    15   3  12   0  20.0  29.8  -4.03  -6.00  1.97
32    HOU     -7.0    15   2  12   1  16.7  24.4  -7.47  -6.93 -0.53

As crazy as the games of week 15 were, very little change was seen in the first 5 SRS leaders. Buffalo is #1, Philadelphia is #2, Dallas is #3, San Francisco is #4 and the Bengals are #5.

Global Statistics:
Games  Home Wins HwPct Winning_Score Losing_Score Margin
224       123     54.9      26.54        17.23      9.31

Calculated Pythagorean Exponent:  3.25


Rank  Team    Median  GP   W   L   T  Pct   Pred   SRS    MOV   SOS
------------------------------------------------------------------------
1     PHI      8.5    14  13   1   0  92.9  80.1   8.87  10.21 -1.34
2     BUF      6.0    14  11   3   0  78.6  80.3  10.79   9.64  1.14
3     KC       4.5    14  11   3   0  78.6  69.4   5.06   6.57 -1.51
4     MIN      3.5    14  11   3   0  78.6  50.5   1.69   0.14  1.55
5     SF      14.0    14  10   4   0  71.4  82.5   6.39   9.14 -2.75
6     DAL      7.5    14  10   4   0  71.4  77.6   8.22   8.93 -0.71
7     CIN      5.5    14  10   4   0  71.4  69.1   5.92   5.79  0.13
8     BAL      2.0    14   9   5   0  64.3  61.6   3.52   2.93  0.60
9     NYG      2.0    14   8   5   1  60.7  43.3  -1.05  -1.79  0.73
10    MIA      2.5    14   8   6   0  57.1  50.2   2.36   0.07  2.29
11    LAC      1.5    14   8   6   0  57.1  43.1  -2.91  -2.00 -0.91
12    WAS      0.5    14   7   6   1  53.6  46.7  -0.49  -0.79  0.30
13    TEN      0.5    14   7   7   0  50.0  38.9  -2.81  -2.71 -0.10
14    NE       0.0    14   7   7   0  50.0  58.8   2.71   2.21  0.49
15    DET     -1.0    14   7   7   0  50.0  51.1   2.69   0.36  2.34
16    NYJ     -1.0    14   7   7   0  50.0  55.4   3.66   1.29  2.38
17    SEA     -1.5    14   7   7   0  50.0  50.0  -1.96   0.00 -1.96
18    LV      -1.0    14   6   8   0  42.9  50.2  -2.80   0.07 -2.88
19    CLE     -1.5    14   6   8   0  42.9  46.7   0.15  -0.93  1.08
20    TB      -2.0    14   6   8   0  42.9  37.8  -2.65  -2.93  0.28
21    PIT     -2.5    14   6   8   0  42.9  33.7  -2.43  -4.14  1.72
22    GB      -3.5    14   6   8   0  42.9  42.7  -0.56  -1.93  1.37
23    JAX     -5.0    14   6   8   0  42.9  51.5   0.01   0.43 -0.42
24    ATL     -3.0    14   5   9   0  35.7  43.2  -3.51  -1.93 -1.58
25    CAR     -3.0    14   5   9   0  35.7  39.7  -4.05  -2.71 -1.34
26    NO      -3.5    14   5   9   0  35.7  42.2  -3.38  -2.07 -1.31
27    IND     -2.0    14   4   9   1  32.1  26.2  -6.31  -6.57  0.26
28    DEN     -3.0    14   4  10   0  28.6  38.1  -3.86  -2.50 -1.36
29    ARI     -8.0    14   4  10   0  28.6  31.3  -6.31  -5.71 -0.59
30    LA      -8.5    14   4  10   0  28.6  25.5  -6.05  -6.43  0.38
31    CHI     -5.0    14   3  11   0  21.4  33.5  -3.23  -4.86  1.62
32    HOU     -7.5    14   1  12   1  10.7  22.5  -7.70  -7.79  0.09

Philadelphia is now second in SRS, behind Buffalo and ahead of Dallas. San Francisco is fourth and Cinncinnati is 5th. Brock Purdy at QB for San Francisco, Mr Irrelevant, is perhaps the intriguing story of the moment.

Global Statistics:
Games  Home Wins HwPct Winning_Score Losing_Score Margin
208       114     54.8      26.59        17.06      9.52

Calculated Pythagorean Exponent:  3.09


Rank  Team    Median  GP   W   L   T  Pct   Pred   SRS    MOV   SOS
------------------------------------------------------------------------
1     PHI      9.0    13  12   1   0  92.3  79.7   9.36  10.62 -1.25
2     DAL      8.0    13  10   3   0  76.9  80.2   9.26  10.08 -0.82
3     BUF      8.0    13  10   3   0  76.9  81.0  11.37  10.15  1.22
4     MIN      4.0    13  10   3   0  76.9  49.8   2.33  -0.08  2.41
5     KC       3.0    13  10   3   0  76.9  68.7   5.36   6.62 -1.25
6     SF      15.0    13   9   4   0  69.2  81.3   6.54   9.23 -2.69
7     CIN      4.0    13   9   4   0  69.2  67.4   5.77   5.38  0.38
8     BAL      2.0    13   9   4   0  69.2  64.0   4.43   3.92  0.50
9     MIA      3.0    13   8   5   0  61.5  51.0   1.95   0.31  1.64
10    NYG      1.0    13   7   5   1  57.7  41.1  -1.60  -2.54  0.93
11    WAS      1.0    13   7   5   1  57.7  49.1   0.06  -0.23  0.29
12    NE       3.0    13   7   6   0  53.8  60.9   3.63   2.85  0.79
13    TEN      2.0    13   7   6   0  53.8  39.7  -2.91  -2.69 -0.22
14    SEA      1.0    13   7   6   0  53.8  51.8  -1.96   0.62 -2.57
15    LAC      1.0    13   7   6   0  53.8  42.3  -3.53  -2.38 -1.14
16    NYJ      1.0    13   7   6   0  53.8  56.4   4.06   1.62  2.45
17    TB      -2.0    13   6   7   0  46.2  40.4  -2.26  -2.31  0.04
18    DET     -3.0    13   6   7   0  46.2  50.4   2.53   0.15  2.38
19    LV      -1.0    13   5   8   0  38.5  48.8  -3.99  -0.38 -3.61
20    CLE     -2.0    13   5   8   0  38.5  44.3  -0.76  -1.77  1.01
21    ATL     -3.0    13   5   8   0  38.5  43.8  -3.24  -1.85 -1.40
22    CAR     -3.0    13   5   8   0  38.5  41.6  -3.47  -2.31 -1.17
23    PIT     -3.0    13   5   8   0  38.5  31.2  -2.78  -5.08  2.29
24    GB      -5.0    13   5   8   0  38.5  39.5  -0.81  -3.00  2.19
25    JAX     -6.0    13   5   8   0  38.5  50.0  -1.33   0.00 -1.33
26    IND     -1.0    13   4   8   1  34.6  25.0  -6.91  -6.85 -0.06
27    NO      -4.0    13   4   9   0  30.8  41.3  -3.36  -2.46 -0.90
28    LA      -7.0    13   4   9   0  30.8  28.0  -5.26  -6.00  0.74
29    ARI     -8.0    13   4   9   0  30.8  33.1  -5.58  -5.46 -0.12
30    DEN     -3.0    13   3  10   0  23.1  34.7  -4.64  -3.38 -1.25
31    CHI     -5.0    13   3  10   0  23.1  34.3  -3.67  -4.85  1.18
32    HOU     -8.0    13   1  11   1  11.5  22.6  -8.59  -7.92 -0.67

Another good week of football. The CIN-KC game was a pleasure to watch. Philadelphia crushed the Titans so hard the Titans fired their GM. New Orleans should have beaten Tampa Bay but Mark Ingram missed the first down marker, somehow. No change in the top 3 SRS, but Cin is now #4 and KC is #5.

Global Statistics:
Games  Home Wins HwPct Winning_Score Losing_Score Margin
195       107     54.9      26.46        17.02      9.45

Calculated Pythagorean Exponent:  3.23


Rank  Team    Median  GP   W   L   T  Pct   Pred   SRS    MOV   SOS
------------------------------------------------------------------------
1     PHI      8.5    12  11   1   0  91.7  78.6   8.09   9.33 -1.24
2     MIN      4.5    12  10   2   0  83.3  52.8   3.36   0.83  2.52
3     DAL     10.0    12   9   3   0  75.0  82.5  10.70  10.58  0.12
4     BUF      6.0    12   9   3   0  75.0  81.8  11.59  10.33  1.25
5     KC       3.0    12   9   3   0  75.0  69.8   5.40   6.67 -1.27
6     SF      14.0    12   8   4   0  66.7  78.2   4.86   7.67 -2.81
7     CIN      4.0    12   8   4   0  66.7  65.7   5.52   4.75  0.77
8     MIA      3.5    12   8   4   0  66.7  52.7   2.77   0.83  1.94
9     BAL      2.5    12   8   4   0  66.7  64.8   5.05   4.08  0.97
10    NYG      2.0    12   7   4   1  62.5  47.7  -0.22  -0.58  0.36
11    TEN      3.0    12   7   5   0  58.3  42.7  -2.08  -1.75 -0.33
12    SEA      2.0    12   7   5   0  58.3  53.6  -1.43   1.17 -2.59
13    NYJ      2.0    12   7   5   0  58.3  59.8   4.30   2.42  1.88
14    WAS      1.0    13   7   5   1  57.7  49.0  -0.02  -0.23  0.21
15    NE       0.0    12   6   6   0  50.0  57.8   3.48   1.92  1.56
16    TB      -0.5    12   6   6   0  50.0  49.3  -0.42  -0.17 -0.25
17    LAC     -1.0    12   6   6   0  50.0  39.8  -4.85  -3.08 -1.77
18    LV      -1.5    12   5   7   0  41.7  48.9  -4.24  -0.33 -3.91
19    CLE     -1.5    12   5   7   0  41.7  47.3  -0.24  -0.83  0.60
20    DET     -3.0    12   5   7   0  41.7  47.7   1.89  -0.75  2.64
21    PIT     -3.5    12   5   7   0  41.7  30.0  -3.09  -5.33  2.24
22    ATL     -3.0    13   5   8   0  38.5  43.6  -3.36  -1.85 -1.51
23    GB      -5.0    13   5   8   0  38.5  39.0  -0.42  -3.00  2.58
24    IND     -1.0    13   4   8   1  34.6  24.1  -7.19  -6.85 -0.35
25    CAR     -3.0    12   4   8   0  33.3  38.5  -3.96  -3.00 -0.96
26    ARI     -5.5    12   4   8   0  33.3  34.7  -5.43  -4.75 -0.68
27    JAX     -6.0    12   4   8   0  33.3  45.7  -2.71  -1.17 -1.55
28    NO      -4.0    13   4   9   0  30.8  40.9  -3.15  -2.46 -0.69
29    DEN     -3.0    12   3   9   0  25.0  33.9  -5.37  -3.17 -2.20
30    LA      -8.5    12   3   9   0  25.0  25.5  -5.40  -6.58  1.19
31    CHI     -5.0    13   3  10   0  23.1  33.7  -3.54  -4.85  1.31
32    HOU     -9.0    12   1  10   1  12.5  20.3  -9.88  -8.25 -1.63