December 2021
Monthly Archive
December 28, 2021
By SRS the best teams are BUF, DAL, TB, NE, KC. The spread of values seems narrower, in a kind of “anyone can beat anyone” way. The 6th team by SRS is Indianapolis. The best 8 win team is Philadelphia.
Global Statistics:
Games Home Wins HwPct Winning_Score Losing_Score Margin
240 121 50.4 28.83 16.70 12.13
Calculated Pythagorean Exponent: 2.06
Rank Team Median GP W L T Pct Pred SRS MOV SOS
------------------------------------------------------------------------
1 GB 3.0 15 12 3 0 80.0 58.5 3.57 3.93 -0.37
2 LA 9.0 15 11 4 0 73.3 62.3 5.51 6.00 -0.49
3 DAL 7.0 15 11 4 0 73.3 69.4 9.66 10.00 -0.34
4 TB 6.0 15 11 4 0 73.3 67.2 9.23 8.67 0.57
5 KC 6.0 15 11 4 0 73.3 65.9 8.19 7.67 0.52
6 ARI 10.0 15 10 5 0 66.7 62.7 5.02 5.87 -0.84
7 TEN 3.0 15 10 5 0 66.7 54.7 2.63 2.07 0.56
8 BUF 15.0 15 9 6 0 60.0 72.9 10.64 10.87 -0.22
9 IND 6.0 15 9 6 0 60.0 64.3 7.09 6.93 0.16
10 CIN 3.0 15 9 6 0 60.0 61.9 2.81 5.73 -2.92
11 NE 3.0 15 9 6 0 60.0 69.5 8.83 8.53 0.29
12 LAC 3.0 15 8 7 0 53.3 49.6 0.63 -0.20 0.83
13 PHI 3.0 15 8 7 0 53.3 61.4 3.97 5.33 -1.36
14 SF 3.0 15 8 7 0 53.3 56.2 2.86 2.87 -0.00
15 LV 2.0 15 8 7 0 53.3 39.7 -4.10 -4.73 0.64
16 BAL 1.0 15 8 7 0 53.3 49.9 -0.18 -0.07 -0.11
17 MIA 1.0 15 8 7 0 53.3 48.3 -1.91 -0.67 -1.25
18 PIT 0.0 15 7 7 1 50.0 39.4 -3.91 -4.67 0.76
19 MIN -1.0 15 7 8 0 46.7 51.6 0.54 0.80 -0.26
20 NO -2.0 15 7 8 0 46.7 51.8 2.11 0.73 1.38
21 CLE -2.0 15 7 8 0 46.7 47.6 -1.24 -1.00 -0.24
22 DEN -3.0 15 7 8 0 46.7 57.0 0.48 2.53 -2.05
23 ATL -4.0 15 7 8 0 46.7 32.1 -8.65 -8.13 -0.51
24 WAS -7.0 15 6 9 0 40.0 34.3 -5.01 -7.33 2.33
25 SEA -3.0 15 5 10 0 33.3 49.8 -0.06 -0.07 0.01
26 CAR -6.0 15 5 10 0 33.3 38.9 -4.60 -4.53 -0.06
27 CHI -8.0 15 5 10 0 33.3 33.1 -6.77 -7.20 0.43
28 NYJ -7.0 15 4 11 0 26.7 26.8 -10.97 -11.53 0.56
29 HOU -10.0 15 4 11 0 26.7 27.1 -9.89 -10.20 0.31
30 NYG -11.0 15 4 11 0 26.7 31.1 -5.86 -7.80 1.94
31 DET -4.0 15 2 12 1 16.7 30.5 -8.61 -8.47 -0.15
32 JAX -12.0 15 2 13 0 13.3 22.4 -12.05 -11.93 -0.11
December 26, 2021
Late post because of the Xmas holidays. The top six by SRS are: Buffalo, New England, Tampa Bay, Kansas City, and Indianapolis.
Games Home Wins HwPct Winning_Score Losing_Score Margin
224 111 49.6 28.76 16.70 12.06
Calculated Pythagorean Exponent: 2.11
Rank Team Median GP W L T Pct Pred SRS MOV SOS
------------------------------------------------------------------------
1 GB 5.5 14 11 3 0 78.6 59.0 4.19 4.07 0.12
2 ARI 10.5 14 10 4 0 71.4 64.6 5.33 6.71 -1.38
3 LA 9.0 14 10 4 0 71.4 62.5 5.35 5.93 -0.58
4 DAL 6.5 14 10 4 0 71.4 66.0 8.12 7.71 0.41
5 TB 6.0 14 10 4 0 71.4 65.0 8.27 7.43 0.84
6 KC 6.0 14 10 4 0 71.4 63.5 7.50 6.36 1.15
7 NE 3.5 14 9 5 0 64.3 73.4 9.09 10.00 -0.91
8 TEN 3.0 14 9 5 0 64.3 54.6 2.20 2.00 0.20
9 BUF 16.0 14 8 6 0 57.1 73.5 9.62 10.79 -1.16
10 IND 8.0 14 8 6 0 57.1 64.5 6.30 7.00 -0.70
11 SF 4.5 14 8 6 0 57.1 57.2 3.12 3.29 -0.17
12 LAC 3.5 14 8 6 0 57.1 51.3 2.38 0.64 1.74
13 CIN 3.0 14 8 6 0 57.1 60.3 2.04 4.71 -2.67
14 BAL 1.5 14 8 6 0 57.1 53.1 1.07 1.36 -0.28
15 PIT 0.5 14 7 6 1 53.6 42.6 -2.74 -3.14 0.40
16 DEN 2.0 14 7 7 0 50.0 58.3 1.26 3.00 -1.74
17 MIN 0.5 14 7 7 0 50.0 52.8 1.06 1.36 -0.30
18 NO 0.5 14 7 7 0 50.0 54.9 3.50 2.00 1.50
19 PHI 0.0 14 7 7 0 50.0 58.7 3.20 4.00 -0.80
20 LV 0.0 14 7 7 0 50.0 38.4 -4.62 -5.36 0.74
21 CLE 0.0 14 7 7 0 50.0 47.7 -1.18 -0.93 -0.25
22 MIA -0.5 14 7 7 0 50.0 45.2 -3.80 -1.93 -1.87
23 ATL -5.0 14 6 8 0 42.9 30.2 -9.01 -9.00 -0.01
24 WAS -5.5 14 6 8 0 42.9 38.8 -2.99 -4.86 1.87
25 SEA -3.0 14 5 9 0 35.7 50.0 0.69 0.00 0.69
26 CAR -6.0 14 5 9 0 35.7 42.5 -3.96 -3.00 -0.96
27 NYG -7.0 14 4 10 0 28.6 33.3 -4.98 -6.64 1.67
28 CHI -9.0 14 4 10 0 28.6 31.2 -7.08 -7.79 0.71
29 NYJ -11.0 14 3 11 0 21.4 24.3 -11.72 -12.71 0.99
30 HOU -12.5 14 3 11 0 21.4 22.5 -11.81 -11.79 -0.03
31 DET -5.5 14 2 11 1 17.9 29.6 -8.10 -8.79 0.68
32 JAX -13.0 14 2 12 0 14.3 20.7 -12.31 -12.43 0.12
December 14, 2021
The top 5 by SRS are: New England, Buffalo, Tampa Bay, Dallas, and Arizona. Kansas City is sixth so far and a fast riser. Indianapolis is seventh. Among the 6 win teams, New Orleans has the best SRS and Atlanta the worst. That said, Atlanta has two more wins than the previous year with 4 games to go, and are still in the playoff race.
Games Home Wins HwPct Winning_Score Losing_Score Margin
208 103 49.5 29.10 16.87 12.24
Calculated Pythagorean Exponent: 2.10
Rank Team Median GP W L T Pct Pred SRS MOV SOS
------------------------------------------------------------------------
1 ARI 11.0 13 10 3 0 76.9 68.3 7.83 8.62 -0.78
2 GB 8.0 13 10 3 0 76.9 59.7 4.02 4.31 -0.28
3 TB 6.0 13 10 3 0 76.9 66.3 9.46 8.69 0.77
4 LA 9.0 13 9 4 0 69.2 61.5 5.26 5.62 -0.35
5 DAL 6.0 13 9 4 0 69.2 64.3 8.15 7.15 1.00
6 KC 6.0 13 9 4 0 69.2 63.8 7.37 6.38 0.98
7 NE 4.0 13 9 4 0 69.2 76.4 10.31 11.54 -1.23
8 TEN 3.0 13 9 4 0 69.2 55.8 3.35 2.62 0.74
9 LAC 4.0 13 8 5 0 61.5 52.3 2.25 1.15 1.10
10 BAL 2.0 13 8 5 0 61.5 53.6 0.36 1.54 -1.18
11 BUF 15.0 13 7 6 0 53.8 72.5 9.56 10.31 -0.75
12 DEN 7.0 13 7 6 0 53.8 59.7 1.28 3.62 -2.34
13 IND 6.0 13 7 6 0 53.8 63.8 5.57 6.77 -1.20
14 CIN 3.0 13 7 6 0 53.8 59.8 1.18 4.69 -3.51
15 SF 3.0 13 7 6 0 53.8 54.7 2.76 2.15 0.61
16 CLE 2.0 13 7 6 0 53.8 48.0 -1.11 -0.85 -0.26
17 PIT 0.0 13 6 6 1 50.0 41.2 -4.10 -3.85 -0.25
18 MIN -1.0 13 6 7 0 46.2 51.7 0.64 0.85 -0.21
19 NO -2.0 13 6 7 0 46.2 53.4 2.88 1.46 1.42
20 LV -2.0 13 6 7 0 46.2 37.6 -5.29 -5.92 0.64
21 MIA -2.0 13 6 7 0 46.2 43.4 -3.50 -2.62 -0.89
22 PHI -3.0 13 6 7 0 46.2 57.6 2.78 3.54 -0.76
23 WAS -4.0 13 6 7 0 46.2 39.8 -2.56 -4.46 1.90
24 ATL -4.0 13 6 7 0 46.2 31.7 -8.08 -8.31 0.23
25 SEA -3.0 13 5 8 0 38.5 52.0 1.16 0.77 0.39
26 CAR -6.0 13 5 8 0 38.5 45.1 -3.33 -1.92 -1.41
27 NYG -3.0 13 4 9 0 30.8 35.2 -4.72 -6.00 1.28
28 CHI -10.0 13 4 9 0 30.8 31.8 -7.58 -7.77 0.19
29 NYJ -15.0 13 3 10 0 23.1 23.4 -11.62 -13.15 1.53
30 JAX -12.0 13 2 11 0 15.4 20.8 -10.97 -12.31 1.33
31 HOU -15.0 13 2 11 0 15.4 18.7 -12.38 -13.77 1.39
32 DET -8.0 13 1 11 1 11.5 25.6 -10.96 -10.85 -0.11
December 7, 2021
The NFL has a new SRS champeen, and the name of the team is the New England Patriots. Buffalo, Tampa Bay, Arizona, and Dallas round out the top 5. Sixth is Indianapolis. Seventh is Kansas City.
Games Home Wins HwPct Winning_Score Losing_Score Margin
194 95 49.0 28.85 16.76 12.09
Calculated Pythagorean Exponent: 2.10
Rank Team Median GP W L T Pct Pred SRS MOV SOS
------------------------------------------------------------------------
1 ARI 11.5 12 10 2 0 83.3 71.0 8.68 9.92 -1.24
2 TB 6.5 12 9 3 0 75.0 66.8 8.71 8.92 -0.20
3 GB 5.5 12 9 3 0 75.0 58.1 3.67 3.42 0.26
4 NE 4.0 13 9 4 0 69.2 76.4 10.25 11.54 -1.28
5 LA 9.0 12 8 4 0 66.7 61.3 4.65 5.50 -0.85
6 DAL 5.0 12 8 4 0 66.7 64.2 8.16 7.17 0.99
7 KC 5.0 12 8 4 0 66.7 58.2 5.09 3.67 1.43
8 TEN 3.0 12 8 4 0 66.7 52.5 2.76 1.17 1.59
9 BAL 2.5 12 8 4 0 66.7 54.3 0.72 1.83 -1.11
10 BUF 16.5 12 7 5 0 58.3 75.6 9.94 11.67 -1.73
11 LAC 3.5 12 7 5 0 58.3 49.8 1.40 -0.08 1.48
12 CIN 3.0 12 7 5 0 58.3 61.1 1.71 5.33 -3.62
13 PIT 0.5 12 6 5 1 54.2 41.7 -3.61 -3.50 -0.11
14 IND 6.0 13 7 6 0 53.8 63.8 5.59 6.77 -1.18
15 SF 2.0 12 6 6 0 50.0 54.5 2.81 2.08 0.72
16 DEN 2.0 12 6 6 0 50.0 54.4 -0.04 1.58 -1.62
17 LV 0.5 12 6 6 0 50.0 43.2 -3.29 -3.17 -0.12
18 CLE -0.5 12 6 6 0 50.0 47.4 -1.35 -1.08 -0.26
19 WAS -1.5 12 6 6 0 50.0 40.2 -3.21 -4.25 1.04
20 MIA -2.0 13 6 7 0 46.2 43.4 -3.17 -2.62 -0.56
21 PHI -3.0 13 6 7 0 46.2 57.6 2.67 3.54 -0.87
22 MIN -1.5 12 5 7 0 41.7 50.5 0.67 0.25 0.42
23 NO -2.0 12 5 7 0 41.7 49.6 2.15 -0.17 2.31
24 CAR -4.5 12 5 7 0 41.7 46.4 -2.25 -1.42 -0.84
25 ATL -5.0 12 5 7 0 41.7 28.9 -9.17 -9.67 0.50
26 SEA -3.0 12 4 8 0 33.3 47.9 0.53 -0.83 1.36
27 NYG -3.0 12 4 8 0 33.3 36.8 -4.31 -5.17 0.86
28 CHI -6.5 12 4 8 0 33.3 32.1 -6.86 -7.17 0.31
29 NYJ -11.0 12 3 9 0 25.0 24.9 -11.09 -12.50 1.41
30 JAX -11.0 12 2 10 0 16.7 23.0 -10.62 -11.67 1.05
31 HOU -12.5 12 2 10 0 16.7 19.4 -11.67 -13.25 1.58
32 DET -5.5 12 1 10 1 12.5 28.3 -9.51 -9.42 -0.09
Code and Football 